Democratized Discovery (2.3)

Multi-Faceted Strategic Responses

Strategic Foresight is most powerful as an operating system, managing our processes through the lens of the future.

In a VUCA world, the most important leadership skill is the ability to effectively manage, harness and leverage the constant change around us — and this can be done through foresight. Read on and listen to this week’s episode to understand why mapping across futures takes strategic planning to the next level.

Which world will emerge?

There are numerous ways to conduct scenario development, and the method chosen is largely dependent on the goal of the project– that is, strategy development, innovation, risk-management, and so on.

The “Which World” (Hammond, 1998) methodology is used to allow users and practitioners to create a suite of scenarios that cover the spectrum of the cone of possibilities. Without having to create an overwhelming amount of worlds or narratives.

The “Which World” method is a flexible approach that uses three divergent macro environments to shape a set of scenarios — Transformative (best case), Fortress (worst case) and Market (baseline case). You can use these three archetypes against any focal issue to map three worlds of divergent futures.

Our Applied Foresight Accelerator teaches participants how to map the future of human potential across the Which World method.

Which World Scenarios

Podcast

In this episode, we strategized against the ethics of scientific discovery to map three different responses: Adaptive, Resilient, and Transformative.

Download the transcript here.